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Author Topic: The Dunning Kruger Effect  (Read 86 times)

Doug K

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Re: The Dunning Kruger Effect and Confirmation Bias
« on: January 27, 2022, 06:55:10 am »
Mike, totally amazing, I believe you have hit the proverbial "nail on the head" after all this time.

And you may also have educated as well as informed our ECNA readers...once again.


But I like the defintion from Encylopedia Brittanica a bit more, myself

Dunning-Kruger effect, in psychology, a cognitive bias whereby people with limited knowledge or competence in a given intellectual or social domain greatly overestimate their own knowledge or competence in that domain relative to objective criteria or to the performance of their peers or of people in general.

Because they are unaware of their deficiencies, such people generally assume that they are not deficient, in keeping with the tendency of most people to “choose what they think is the most reasonable and optimal option.”

Although not scientifically explored until the late 20th century, the phenomenon is familiar from ordinary life, and it has long been attested in common sayings—e.g., “A little knowledge is a dangerous thing”—and in observations by writers and wits through the ages—e.g., “Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge” (Charles Darwin).


https://www.britannica.com/science/Dunning-Kruger-effect


They also go on to discuss this additional issue that seems to follow Dunning Kruger - Confirmation Bias

Confirmation Bias, the tendency to process information by looking for, or interpreting, information that is consistent with one’s existing beliefs. This biased approach to decision making is largely unintentional and often results in ignoring inconsistent information.

Existing beliefs can include one’s expectations in a given situation and predictions about a particular outcome. People are especially likely to process information to support their own beliefs when the issue is highly important or self-relevant.

Confirmation bias is one example of how humans sometimes process information in an illogical, biased manner. Many factors of which people are unaware can influence information processing. Philosophers note that humans have difficulty processing information in a rational, unbiased manner once they have developed an opinion about the issue.


https://www.britannica.com/science/confirmation-bias
« Last Edit: January 27, 2022, 07:08:06 am by Doug K »